Top 5 QBs

This QB class has a chance to be one of the most impressive this generation.There is a generational prospect, multiple players with franchise-altering potential, and a slew of interesting projects down the board. Here are my top 10 signal callers:

1. Trevor Lawrence, Clemson

The chosen one, Lawrence is truly in the pantheon of QB prospects along with John Elway, Peyton Manning, and Andrew Luck. Between his skill, athleticism, and processing ability, his ceiling may be higher than any of that bunch.

We have heard so much about him for so long that excellence has become wholly expected and almost boring. Make no mistake, Lawrence is a superstar and his magnitude will be felt from his first NFL snap.

2. Zach Wilson, BYU

This is where it starts to get fun. Wilson and Fields are the consensus 2 and 3, but in no particular order. I give Wilson the edge over Fields mostly due to the cannon attached to his right arm.

You can’t teach zip like that. More than the sheer arm strength, Wilson’s exceptional timing, throwing motion, and ball placement show up time and time again on his tape (including well, right here).

Wilson has taken some flak for the lack of competition he has faced over his 3 years as BYU’s starter, but the talent is so obvious that I am OK to overlook it and anoint Wilson as a future difference-maker.

3. Justin Fields, Ohio State

Fields makes for an interesting evaluation. On one hand, he seems to be one of the soundest QB prospects in recent memory. A former 5-Star recruit who will likely run in the 4.5s with perfect size and plenty of arm strength, Fields looks as if he was made in a lab to play QB and has the production to match his physical ability. In 24 starts for the Buckeyes, Fields threw for 63 TDs (ran for 15 more) with a 68.4 Comp% (on 9.4 yards per attempt) and only 9 Ints. That is remarkable.

Where Fields falls behind is in his ability to process and act instinctively. Too often during his collegiate career he appeared frozen whenever confused, waiting for his first or second look to become open.

He appears to be fixated on the left side of the field here despite the Indiana defenders waiting for him. Off rhythm, he fires a low-percentage strike off towards the sideline that was lucky to fall incomplete rather than moving his eyes across the field or just throwing the ball away.

Of course, this was not usually a problem while part of OSU’s dynamic offense, but he will not have the time to sit and wait with NFL pass-rushers bearing down on him. The top-end ability to apparent, but Fields needs to prove he can more efficiently go through his progressions.

4. Trey Lance, North Dakota State

A legitimate mystery, Lance has the widest range of outcomes of all these QBs. It is difficult to get a true scouting report on him with just 1 FCS season under his belt. There the lots of positives and negatives to his profile that create a murky picture.

Positives

  • Physical specimen (6’4″, 225)
  • Rocket for an arm
  • 0 collegiate interceptions
  • Regarded as a gamer

Negatives

  • 1 year starter in the FCS
  • Struggles with accuracy
  • Questionable feel for position
  • Mechanics need fine-tuned

All in all, Lance is a risk that may offer tremendous reward. There is no doubt he will hear his name called in the top half of the first round and it will be up to his drafters to put him in a position where he is likely to succeed.

5. Mac Jones, Alabama

A more traditional gun-slinger, Jones does not have anywhere near the athletic ability that many of the modern QBs possess. That being said, he can really spin it. Jones was at the helm of arguably the greatest offense in the history of college football and put forth Joe Burrow-esque production in his first year as a starter. He has no issue with letting it fly and hit standouts Devonta Smith, Jaylen Waddle, and John Metchie over and over again on his way leading the nation in pass yards with 4,500.

His exceptional supporting cast may be taken as a negative, though. Having a pronounced advantage from the team across the field from you every play will make the game far easier, and Jones made it look very easy this past season. There was less doubt surrounding Tua Tagovailoa last season and he looked timid during much of his rookie season. Jones and Tagovailoa had similar passing grades, average depths of targets, and tight-window percentages, so some of the fear with Jones’ skill translating is warranted.

Honorable Mentions

Kyle Trask, Florida

Jamie Newman, Georgia

Davis Mills, Stanford

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